Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Rajko Mitic

Serbia
1 - 2
Hungary

Szalai (10' og.)

FT(HT: 1-2)

Varga (34'), Orban (36')
Varga (67'), Szalai (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Serbia and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Bulgaria 1-1 Serbia
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	3	5	7
2	Serbia	3	4	7
3	Montenegro	3	-1	4
4	Bulgaria	4	-4	2
5	Lithuania	3	-4	1

Hungary

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Hungary 2-0 Lithuania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	3	5	7
2	Serbia	3	4	7
3	Montenegro	3	-1	4
4	Bulgaria	4	-4	2
5	Lithuania	3	-4	1

Although Hungary are a nation on the up and have kept clean sheets in their opening three games, this is their most difficult fixture in the group. Serbia are generally a formidable outfit in front of their own supporters, leading us to predict a hard-fought home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 13.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.56%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Serbia	Draw	Hungary
65.19% ( 1.01)	21.66% ( -0.53)	13.15% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 41.76% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.46% (

53.54% (

-1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.95% (

0.84)

75.05% (

-0.84)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.25% (

0.68)

15.75% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.14% (

1.24)

44.86% (

-1.25)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.57% (

-0.17)

50.43% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.05% (

-0.12)

84.95% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Serbia 65.18%

Hungary 13.15%

Draw 21.66%

Serbia	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 14.68% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 13.56% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 65.18%	1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.66%	0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.41% Total : 13.15%