We said: Serbia 2-0 Hungary
Although Hungary are a nation on the up and have kept clean sheets in their opening three games, this is their most difficult fixture in the group. Serbia are generally a formidable outfit in front of their own supporters, leading us to predict a hard-fought home win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 13.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.56%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.