While Portugal will try to set the pace for the World Cup campaign, Nigeria will be playing for pride as they look to show they can also compete against the very best. However, given the gulf in quality between the two sides, and considering the Super Eagles' recent struggles, we are backing Portugal to come away with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Nigeria
63.31% ( 0.2)	21.12% ( -0)	15.58% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 49.18% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.23% (

-0.37)

46.76% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.97% (

-0.35)

69.02% (

0.34)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.87% (

-0.06)

14.12% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.23% (

-0.11)

41.76% (

0.11)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.27% (

-0.49)

42.73% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.94% (

-0.42)

79.06% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Portugal 63.3%

Nigeria 15.58%

Draw 21.11%

Portugal	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 63.3%	1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.11%	0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.6% Total : 15.58%