Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Sierra Leone2 - 3Nigeria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-2 Sierra Leone
Sunday, March 26 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, March 26 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Sierra Leone 0-2 Nigeria
While Sierra Leone will be looking to pick up successive wins in the qualifiers, we expect them to struggle against the Super Eagles who should have too much quality to handle. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two nations, we are backing Nigeria to come out on top this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win was 1-0 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Nigeria |
35.04% ( -0.65) | 28.4% ( -0.32) | 36.56% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( 0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
