We said: Austria 2-1 Serbia
Neither manager should be adopting an all-guns blazing approach for an inconsequential win on Tuesday night, where avoiding pre-Euros injuries will be the overriding goal, although Serbia could do with an injection of morale.
Stojkovic's men may briefly benefit from Austria's existing fitness concerns, but Rangnick's in-form troops should emerge victorious by the close of play.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austria.
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