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J1 League | Gameweek 24
Aug 7, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
2 - 0
Jubilo Iwata

Miyashiro (43'), Kakita (85')
Naganuma (4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 3-3 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, July 31 at 10am in J1 League

Jubilo Iwata

Last Six:
    Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
    Saturday, July 30 at 10.30am in J1 League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 25.42%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

    Result
    Sagan TosuDrawJubilo Iwata
    47.33% (-0.681 -0.68) 27.25% (0.133 0.13) 25.42% (0.546 0.55)
    Both teams to score 45.76% (0.102 0.1)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    41.19% (-0.108 -0.11)58.81% (0.106 0.11)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    20.68% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)79.32% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
    Sagan Tosu Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    75.09% (-0.373 -0.37)24.9% (0.37 0.37)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    40.47% (-0.521 -0.52)59.53% (0.52 0.52)
    Jubilo Iwata Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    60.93% (0.433 0.43)39.06% (-0.434 -0.43)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    24.22% (0.402 0.4)75.78% (-0.405 -0.41)
    Score Analysis
        Sagan Tosu 47.33%
        Jubilo Iwata 25.42%
        Draw 27.25%
    Sagan TosuDrawJubilo Iwata
    1-0 @ 13.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
    2-0 @ 9.4% (-0.166 -0.17)
    2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
    3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.125 -0.13)
    3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.068 -0.07)
    3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
    4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
    4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
    Other @ 2.26%
    Total : 47.33%
    		1-1 @ 12.71% (0.07 0.07)
    0-0 @ 9.73% (0.039 0.04)
    2-2 @ 4.15% (0.026 0.03)
    Other @ 0.66%
    Total : 27.25%
    		0-1 @ 9.15% (0.144 0.14)
    1-2 @ 5.98% (0.1 0.1)
    0-2 @ 4.3% (0.117 0.12)
    1-3 @ 1.87% (0.053 0.05)
    0-3 @ 1.35% (0.052 0.05)
    2-3 @ 1.3% (0.023 0.02)
    Other @ 1.48%
    Total : 25.42%

    Head to Head
    Jun 18, 2022 10am
    Jubilo Iwata
    3-1
    Sagan Tosu
    Gonzalez (8', 13'), Kanuma (27')
    Gonzalez (47')
    Miyashiro (53')
    Tashiro (69')
    rhs 2.0
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