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La Liga
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 20, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Leganes logo

Atletico
3 - 1
Leganes

Sorloth (69', 90+9'), Griezmann (81')
Lenglet (30'), Galan (73'), Griezmann (89'), De Paul (90+8'), Simeone (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Neyou (34')
Cisse (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, October 6 at 8pm in La Liga

Leganes

All competitions
Last Game: Leganes 0-0 Valencia
Friday, October 4 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Leganes

 A lot of the signs are pointing towards a low-scoring affair on Sunday, and we are expecting that to be the case. It would be a surprise if Atletico did not win this fixture, but Simeone's side might have to be patient, with the winning goal potentially coming in the second half of the clash at Wanda Metropolitano. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawLeganes
58.74% (-0.179 -0.18) 24.01% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 17.25% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 44.15% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.62% (0.137 0.14)55.38% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42% (0.114 0.11)76.58% (-0.111 -0.11)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)18.67% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)50% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.29% (0.283 0.28)45.71% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.5% (0.221 0.22)81.49% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 58.73%
    Leganes 17.25%
    Draw 24.01%
Atletico MadridDrawLeganes
1-0 @ 14.32% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 12.01% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 58.73%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.68% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.39% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.15% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 17.25%

How you voted: Atletico vs Leganes

Atletico Madrid
93.9%
Draw
6.1%
Leganes
0.0%
115
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2020 11am
Gameweek 21
Atletico
0-0
Leganes
Simeone (57'), Savic (96')
Awaziem (11'), Eraso (54'), Cuellar (76'), Mesa (89'), Recio (92')
Cuellar (93')
Aug 25, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 2
Leganes
0-1
Atletico

Eraso (23'), Rosales (34'), Silva (73'), En-Nesyri (90')
Vitolo (71')
Hermoso (52'), Partey (62'), Llorente (80'), Vitolo (86'), Koke (91')
Mar 9, 2019 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Atletico
1-0
Leganes
Niguez (50')
Gimenez (14'), Lemar (53')

Braithwaite (15'), Perez (65')
Nov 3, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 11
Leganes
1-1
Atletico
Carrillo (82')
En-Nesyri (13'), Silva (53'), Cuellar (85'), Santos (90')
Griezmann (69')
Hernandez (29'), Kalinic (90')
Feb 28, 2018 8.30pm
Atletico
4-0
Leganes
Griezmann (26', 35', 56', 67')
Griezmann (69')

Gumbau (53'), Ramos (82'), Bustinza (86')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
> La Liga Full Table


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