La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, October 20 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, October 20 at 1pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Alaves 2-3 Valladolid
Friday, October 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, October 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Alaves
Alaves showed positives against Real Valladolid last time out, but their defensive record is concerning, and Rayo have the players to hurt the visitors on Saturday; we are expecting an open and entertaining match, with Rayo likely to come out on top. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rayo Vallecano.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Alaves |
47.4% ( 0.15) | 28.35% ( 0.02) | 24.25% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 42.01% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
