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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Cadiz logo

Almeria
6 - 1
Cadiz

Melero (48'), Arribas (51', 86'), Zaldua (57' og.), Suarez Charris (65', 71')
Suarez Charris (21'), Embarba (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ocampo (30')
Hernandez (13'), Fali (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 2-2 Cadiz

With both sides already guaranteed to be relegated at the end of play, the pressure being off could lead to an entertaining watch for supporters. Almeria will be desperate to record their first win at the Power Horse Stadium this season, but we feel that Rojiblancos will have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawCadiz
40.11% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 27.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 32.84% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08% (0.055 0.05)54.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (0.044 0.04)76.21% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (0.018999999999998 0.02)62.13% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (0.051999999999992 0.05)31.24% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)67.59% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 40.1%
    Cadiz 32.84%
    Draw 27.04%
AlmeriaDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 40.1%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.84%

How you voted: Almeria vs Cadiz

Almeria
42.1%
Draw
22.8%
Cadiz
35.1%
57
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Cadiz
1-1
Almeria
Hernandez (59')
Fede (90+10')
Fernandes (90+5')
Puigmal (9'), Moreno (10'), Gonzalez (27'), Suarez Charris (72'), Ramazani (90')
Gonzalez (50')
Mar 18, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 26
Almeria
1-1
Cadiz
Melero (90+7' pen.)
Marti (49')
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Gameweek 15
Cadiz
1-1
Almeria
Perez (83')
Melero (40')
Feb 29, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 30
Cadiz
2-1
Almeria
Maras (16' og.), Alex (60')
Fali (37'), Perea (76')
Corpas (10')
Jonathan (77'), Costas (84')
Sep 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Almeria
1-2
Cadiz
Corpas (77' pen.)
Maras (36'), Martos (94')
Lozano (69'), Espino (90')
Mari (26'), Lozano (71'), Alberto (94')
Mauro (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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