La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 18, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
1 - 1
Cadiz

Melero (90+7' pen.)
Eguaras (28')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Marti (49')
Sobrino (38'), Guardiola (52'), Ramos (73'), Mbaye (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, March 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 2-2 Getafe
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria have been impressive in front of their own fans this season, while Cadiz have suffered defeats in seven of their 12 league games on their travels. Cadiz are not losing many games at the moment, though, and we are backing the visitors to secure a share of the spoils on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Cadiz
45.64% ( -1.63)	27.31% ( 0.53)	27.05% ( 1.1)

Both teams to score 46.8% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.91% (

-1.25)

58.09% (

1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.24% (

-0.99)

78.76% (

0.99)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-1.35)

25.41% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

-1.88)

60.22% (

1.88)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.74% (

0.25)

37.26% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.96% (

0.25)

74.04% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Almeria 45.64%

Cadiz 27.05%

Draw 27.31%

Almeria	Draw	Cadiz
1-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.64%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 27.05%