Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Getafe |
29.25% | 29.58% | 41.17% |
Both teams to score 42.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.35% | 64.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.36% | 83.64% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.9% | 39.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.18% | 75.82% |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.04% | 30.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.74% | 67.26% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.51% Total : 29.24% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 12.1% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 14.19% 0-2 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-3 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |