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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 9, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio Coliseo del Golfo
Atletico Madrid logo

Getafe
2 - 1
Atletico

Arambarri (88', 90+2')
Alderete (40'), Duarte (40'), Alvaro (57'), Rico (74'), Dakonam (74'), Juanmi (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sorloth (75' pen.)
Le Normand (40'), Sorloth (90+8')
Correa (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leganes 1-0 Getafe
Sunday, March 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Atletico
Tuesday, March 4 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Getafe 0-1 Atletico Madrid

It was 1-0 to Atletico when the two sides locked horns for the reverse match earlier this season, and we are expecting the same scoreline here; Getafe do not concede many, but they struggle to score, and we fancy a narrow Atletico success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.79%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
GetafeDrawAtletico Madrid
18.17% (-0.254 -0.25) 24.78% (-0.135 -0.14) 57.05% (0.386 0.39)
Both teams to score 43.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.11% (0.159 0.16)56.89% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19% (0.126 0.13)77.81% (-0.13 -0.13)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.54% (-0.213 -0.21)45.46% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.7% (-0.166 -0.17)81.3% (0.163 0.16)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (0.214 0.21)19.89% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (0.345 0.34)52.02% (-0.348 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Getafe 18.17%
    Atletico Madrid 57.04%
    Draw 24.78%
GetafeDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.13% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
2-1 @ 4.54% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.81% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 18.17%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 14.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.79% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.35% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 5% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.56% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 57.04%

How you voted: Getafe vs Atletico

Getafe
12.8%
Draw
5.8%
Atletico Madrid
81.4%
86
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2025 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Atletico
5-0
Getafe
Simeone (8', 17'), Lino (42'), Correa (78'), Sorloth (86')
Gallagher (70')

Ugonna Uche (8'), Bekhoucha Lemlal (77')
Dec 15, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 17
Atletico
1-0
Getafe
Sorloth (69')
Correa (72'), De Paul (90'), Koke (90+2')

Iglesias (69')
Aug 3, 2024 8pm
Club Friendlies
Getafe
1-3
Atletico
Ugonna Uche (60')
Rico (82')
Fernandez Gonzalez (88')
Correa (38', 55'), Felix (45')
Alderete (82')
May 15, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 36
Getafe
0-3
Atletico

Rico (14'), Alderete (55'), Santiago (88'), Alvarez (90+1')
Griezmann (27', 42', 51')
Witsel (17'), Gimenez (77'), Hermoso (88')
Dec 19, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Atletico
3-3
Getafe
Griezmann (44', 69' pen.), Morata (63')
Savic (15'), Hermoso (90')
Savic (38')
Mayoral (53', 90+3'), Rodriguez (87')
Milla (52'), Suarez (68'), Rodriguez (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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