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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Rayo Vallecano logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Mandava (35'), Depay (90')
Simeone (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Garcia (42')
Perez (38'), Isi (60'), Chavarria (90+3')
Francisco (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo may have picked up 16 of their 24 points from away matches, but we think that they will be left empty-handed when they go against an Atletico side that has won 10 of their 11 home games in La Liga this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
59.03% (-0.13099999999999 -0.13) 22.89% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 18.08% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 48.83% (0.597 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.08% (0.60100000000001 0.6)49.92% (-0.599 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.09% (0.534 0.53)71.91% (-0.532 -0.53)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42% (0.167 0.17)16.58% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.62% (0.299 0.3)46.38% (-0.297 -0.3)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.53% (0.601 0.6)41.46% (-0.599 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.03% (0.524 0.52)77.97% (-0.52199999999999 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 59.02%
    Rayo Vallecano 18.08%
    Draw 22.88%
Atletico MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.35% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 11.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.65% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 59.02%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 22.88%
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.08%

How you voted: Atletico vs Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid
89.9%
Draw
7.2%
Rayo Vallecano
2.9%
139
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Rayo Vallecano
0-7
Atletico

Isi (39'), Lejeune (65'), Espino (81'), Balliu (88')
Griezmann (2'), Depay (16'), Molina (36'), Morata (73', 84'), Correa (79'), Llorente (86')
Barrios (49'), Griezmann (75'), Hermoso (87')
Apr 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Atletico
Garcia (85')
Molina (22'), Hermoso (24')
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
Atletico
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Morata (20')
Falcao (90+2' pen.)
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Atletico

Suarez (30'), Comesana (42'), Trejo (65')
Koke (49')
Lodi (20'), Kondogbia (74'), Koke (78'), Oblak (81'), Savic (85')
Correa (85')
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 19
Atletico
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Correa (28', 53')
Simeone (7'), Suarez (26'), Gimenez (63'), De Paul (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Mallorca219391926-730
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Sevilla227782430-628
12Osasuna216962530-527
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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