La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 28, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 7
Atletico

Isi (39'), Lejeune (65'), Espino (81'), Balliu (88')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Griezmann (2'), Depay (16'), Molina (36'), Morata (73', 84'), Correa (79'), Llorente (86')
Barrios (49'), Griezmann (75'), Hermoso (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Granada 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, August 21 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Numancia 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, August 24 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico Madrid

This is a very tough match to call, and it would not be a surprise to see a home win on Monday. Rayo can be unpredictable despite their strong start, though, and we are backing Atletico to navigate their way to all three points in what should be an entertaining contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Atletico Madrid
29% ( 1.05)	26.47% ( 0.18)	44.52% ( -1.23)

Both teams to score 50.44% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.99% (

-0.17)

54.01% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.55% (

-0.14)

75.44% (

0.14)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.49% (

0.72)

33.51% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.85% (

0.78)

70.15% (

-0.78)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86% (

-0.66)

24.14% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.55% (

-0.95)

58.45% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 29%

Atletico Madrid 44.52%

Draw 26.47%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.4% Total : 29%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.63% Total : 44.52%