La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

Jul 16, 2020 at 8pm UK

Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Getafe
0 - 2
Atletico

Molina (68')
Nyom (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Llorente (54'), Partey (80')
Gimenez (45+4'), Niguez (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga derby between Getafe and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Atletico Madrid
31.75%	28.52%	39.72%

Both teams to score 45.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.41%

60.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.31%

80.68%

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.05%

34.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.31%

71.69%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23%

29.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.16%

65.84%

Score Analysis

Getafe 31.74%

Atletico Madrid 39.71%

Draw 28.52%

Getafe	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.16% Total : 31.74%	1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.52%	0-1 @ 12.6% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.5% Total : 39.71%