Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
31.75% | 28.52% | 39.72% |
Both teams to score 45.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.41% | 60.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.31% | 80.68% |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.05% | 34.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.31% | 71.69% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.23% | 29.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.16% | 65.84% |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.16% Total : 31.74% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 12.6% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.5% Total : 39.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |