We said: Real Sociedad 1-2 Barcelona
This is a really tough match for Barcelona, and it would not be a surprise to see the champions drop points here, with Real Sociedad boasting quality all across the park. Barcelona need to win, though, and we are backing Xavi's side to navigate their way to a narrow success at the Reale Arena.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.