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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Atletico Madrid logo

Betis
1 - 0
Atletico

Gimenez (4' og.)
Perraud (75'), Ruibal (83'), San Miguel del Castillo (88'), Pellegrini (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mandava (7'), Koke (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 1-1 Copenhagen
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Atletico 1-3 Lille
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Real Betis 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico will have had an extra day of recovery for this match, which could prove to be crucial, especially in the second half. It would not be a surprise to see a draw on Sunday night, but we just have a feeling that Atletico will be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Betis in this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawAtletico Madrid
43.63% (0.352 0.35) 26.11% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 30.26% (-0.281 -0.28)
Both teams to score 52.24% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48% (0.178 0.18)52% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.26% (0.153 0.15)73.74% (-0.152 -0.15)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (0.251 0.25)23.7% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (0.359 0.36)57.82% (-0.357 -0.36)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)31.54% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-0.127 -0.13)67.94% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 43.63%
    Atletico Madrid 30.26%
    Draw 26.1%
Real BetisDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 43.63%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 30.26%

How you voted: Betis vs Atletico

Real Betis
16.7%
Draw
26.0%
Atletico Madrid
57.3%
150
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Atletico
2-1
Betis
Silva (8' og.), Morata (44')
De Paul (18')
Carvalho (62')
Pezzella (67'), Rodriguez (85')
Aug 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Betis
0-0
Atletico
Ruibal (37'), Isco (51')
Savic (43'), Simeone (54+54')
Apr 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Atletico
1-0
Betis
Correa (86')
Oct 23, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 11
Betis
1-2
Atletico
Fekir (84')
Griezmann (54', 71')
Mar 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Betis
1-3
Atletico
Tello (45+5')
Iglesias (23'), Akouokou (40'), Bartra (50'), Tello (71'), Ruibal (87')
Felix (2', 61'), Lemar (80')
Simeone (27'), Herrera (34'), Carrasco (63'), Llorente (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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