La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Balaídos

Celta Vigo
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Aspas (71')
Tapia (36'), Nunez (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alvarez (61'), Zarraga (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Celta Vigo
Friday, January 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 1-3 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, January 26 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Celta have drawn four of their nine home league matches this season, suffering just three defeats, and they will be the fresher of the two teams heading into this match. Athletic will have been boosted by their Copa del Rey success, but they are not winning in the league at the moment, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
30.92% ( 0.11)	27.28% ( 0.14)	41.8% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 48.96% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.66% (

-0.5)

56.34% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.63% (

-0.4)

77.37% (

0.41)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.69% (

-0.18)

33.31% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.07% (

-0.2)

69.93% (

0.2)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.42% (

-0.36)

26.58% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.19% (

-0.48)

61.8% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 30.92%

Athletic Bilbao 41.79%

Draw 27.28%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.92%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.79%