Copa del Rey | Round of 16

Jan 18, 2023 at 7pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Espanyol

de Marcos (27')
Alvarez (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Puado (36'), Sanchez (44'), Gomez (45+3'), Souza (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, January 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Espanyol

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Getafe 1-2 Espanyol
Sunday, January 15 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Espanyol

Fired up by derby failure at the weekend, Athletic can take their frustration out on an Espanyol side distracted by a relegation battle and proceed to the quarter-finals. Home advantage could be the decisive factor, as the Basque club generally raise their game at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Espanyol
58.41% ( -0.51)	23.92% ( 0.29)	17.67% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 45.15% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.54% (

-0.74)

54.46% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.18% (

-0.62)

75.82% (

0.62)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.55% (

-0.46)

18.44% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.38% (

-0.78)

49.62% (

0.79)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.36% (

-0.16)

44.64% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.36% (

-0.13)

80.64% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 58.4%

Espanyol 17.67%

Draw 23.91%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 13.91% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.2% Total : 58.4%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.63% Total : 23.91%	0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 17.67%