La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 at 1pm UK
Estadi Cornellà-El Prat
Espanyol4 - 3Levante
We said: Espanyol 1-0 Levante
Both of these clubs have registered goals at less than one per game in the league this term, so entertainment could be thin on the ground on Saturday afternoon. A superior home record and far more secure defence means that Espanyol should have enough in the tank to consign Levante to yet another defeat, but probably by the slimmest of margins. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Levante had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Levante win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Levante |
| 50.05% | 25.72% | 24.23% |
| Both teams to score 48.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
