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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Alaves logo

Real Madrid
3 - 2
Alaves

Vazquez (1'), Mbappe (40'), Rodrygo (48')
Valverde (4'), Junior (30'), Endrick (83'), Modric (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Benavidez (85'), Kike (86')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid avoided an embarrassing late collapse to narrowly beat Alaves 3-2 as they conceded twice in a minute to make for a nervy end at the Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Alaves.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Alaves could line up in Tuesday's La Liga clash with Real Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Espanyol
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 2-1 Sevilla
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAlaves
73.42% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05) 16.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 9.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.69% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (-0.134 -0.13)41.96% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64% (-0.133 -0.13)64.36% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.06% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)9.94% (0.048100000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.1% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)32.9% (0.11 0.11)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.74% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)49.26% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.86% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)84.14% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 73.4%
    Alaves 9.75%
    Draw 16.84%
Real MadridDrawAlaves
2-0 @ 13.04% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 7.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.79% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 73.4%
1-1 @ 8.01% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 16.84%
0-1 @ 3.47% (0.015 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 9.75%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Alaves

Real Madrid
88.8%
Draw
8.6%
Alaves
2.5%
197
Head to Head
May 14, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 36
Real Madrid
5-0
Alaves
Bellingham (10'), Junior (27', 70'), Valverde (45+1'), Guler (81')
Junior (52')

Duarte (50')
Dec 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Alaves
0-1
Real Madrid

Duarte (45'), Lopez (83'), Tenaglia (90')
Vazquez (90+2')
Ancelotti (39'), Bellingham (84')
Nacho (54')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Real Madrid
3-0
Alaves
Asensio (63'), Junior (80'), Benzema (90+1' pen.)
Modric (33')

N'Diaye (48')
Aug 14, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 1
Alaves
1-4
Real Madrid
Joselu (65' pen.)
Garcia (35')
Benzema (48', 62'), Nacho (56'), Junior (90+2')
Bale (53'), Courtois (64')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Alaves
1-4
Real Madrid
Joselu (59')
Navarro (10'), Garcia (49'), Laguardia (79'), Sainz (85'), Mendez (90+2')
Casemiro (15'), Benzema (41', 70'), Hazard (45+1')
Militao (59'), Mendy (86'), Benzema (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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