Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (12.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
35.69% ( -0.07) | 30.1% ( -0.11) | 34.21% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 41.86% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.58% ( 0.35) | 65.42% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.82% ( 0.24) | 84.18% ( -0.25) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.21% ( 0.14) | 34.79% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.48% ( 0.15) | 71.52% ( -0.16) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.2% ( 0.32) | 35.8% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.42% ( 0.32) | 72.57% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 13.14% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 35.68% | 1-1 @ 13.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.09% | 0-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.03% Total : 34.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |