We said: Osasuna 2-1 Elche
After four tough games in a row - facing Real Madrid, Sevilla, Real Sociedad and Atletico - Osasuna will have earmarked this match as the perfect chance to return to winning ways, and we are expecting the home side to pick up all three points on Monday night courtesy of a narrow success.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.