Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Cadiz |
51.58% | 25.77% | 22.65% |
Both teams to score 47.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.34% | 55.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.18% | 76.82% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.37% | 21.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.25% | 54.75% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.12% | 39.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.46% | 76.54% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 13.2% 2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.3% 3-0 @ 5.16% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.09% Total : 51.57% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 7.93% 1-2 @ 5.58% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.36% Total : 22.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | GironaGirona | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
15 | Espanyol | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 28 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |