La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano0 - 2Las Palmas
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Girona 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, January 17 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, January 17 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Las Palmas 3-0 Villarreal
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Las Palmas
This is a really tough match to call, and there is not an awful lot between the sides when it comes to quality. Both managers would likely view a point as a positive result, and we are struggling to back either with any real conference, therefore settling on a low-scoring draw this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Las Palmas |
39.34% ( -0.03) | 27.09% ( 0.02) | 33.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.32% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
