La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano0 - 1Valencia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia
Both teams are on 20 points from 17 matches, while three of their last four league meetings have finished level. A case can be made for either to win it, but we are finding it difficult to separate them, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Valencia |
37.26% ( -0.3) | 28.11% ( 0.03) | 34.63% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 47.41% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
