Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Getafe |
55.94% ( 0.13) | 24.78% ( -0.07) | 19.29% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 45.44% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.48% ( 0.19) | 55.52% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.3% ( 0.16) | 76.7% ( -0.16) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.21% ( 0.13) | 19.79% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.14% ( 0.21) | 51.86% ( -0.21) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.65% ( 0.05) | 43.35% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.42% ( 0.04) | 79.58% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 55.92% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |