Real Madrid

3 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.