La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Dec 12, 2020 at 1pm UK

Mestalla

Valencia
2 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Soler (26' pen.), Vallejo (83')
Gomez (36'), Jason (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Villalibre (55'), Garcia (79' pen.)
Vesga (31'), Garcia (61'), Lopez (73'), Alvarez (82'), Berenguer (84'), Garcia (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
31%	27.17%	41.83%

Both teams to score 49.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.1%

55.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.99%

77.01%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.97%

33.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.38%

69.62%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64%

26.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49%

61.51%

Score Analysis

Valencia 31%

Athletic Bilbao 41.82%

Draw 27.17%

Valencia	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 11.6% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 7.74% 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.82%