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La Liga
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Real Valladolid logo

Atletico
3 - 0
Valladolid

Morata (18'), Griezmann (23'), Hermoso (28')
Mandava (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Perez (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Levante 0-2 Atletico
Wednesday, January 18 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Real Valladolid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Real Valladolid

 Atletico are a difficult team to back at the moment with any real confidence, and they have found it difficult at home this season, but Real Valladolid's away record has been poor. As a result, we are backing Simeone's side to collect all three points in front of their own supporters, albeit by the narrowest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Valladolid
57.3% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 23.7% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 19% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.01% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)51.84% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (0.022000000000006 0.02)17.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03)48.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)41.53% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)78.02% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 57.3%
    Real Valladolid 19%
    Draw 23.69%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 6.31% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19%

How you voted: Atletico vs Valladolid

Atletico Madrid
85.2%
Draw
9.3%
Real Valladolid
5.6%
54
Head to Head
May 22, 2021 5pm
Valladolid
1-2
Atletico
Plano (18')
Maranhao (55'), El Yamiq (70'), Michel (74'), Fede (78')
Correa (57'), Suarez (67')
Felix (78'), Felipe (83'), Lodi (87')
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
Atletico
2-0
Valladolid
Lemar (56'), Llorente (72')
Savic (24'), Vitolo (40'), Suarez (49'), Herrera (85')

Sanchez Moreno (51'), Mesa (81')
Jun 20, 2020 9pm
Atletico
1-0
Valladolid
Oct 6, 2019 3pm
Valladolid
0-0
Atletico
> Preview
Apr 27, 2019 3.15pm
Atletico
1-0
Valladolid
Fernandez (66' og.)
Godin (5'), Thomas (38'), Correa (90'), Koke (90')

Moyano (1'), Alcaraz (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
> La Liga Full Table


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