La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 29, 2022 at 9pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
0 - 1
Atletico

Maranhao (18'), Gattuso (26'), Correia (42'), Comert (76'), Perez (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Griezmann (66')
Niguez (14'), Simeone (26'), Mandava (27'), Felix (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

Last Six:

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Girona	3	0	3
14	Valencia	2	0	3
15	Sevilla	3	-2	1

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, August 21 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Celta Vigo	3	-2	4
12	Atletico Madrid	2	1	3
13	Girona	3	0	3

We said: Valencia 1-2 Atletico Madrid

If their opening double-header is anything to go by, these two clubs could be unpredictable as the season progresses. Valencia will fancy their chances of causing the upset in this fixture, but we cannot go against Atletico at this stage with Simeone's men possibly coming through by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Atletico Madrid
23.48% ( -0.45)	26.62% ( -0.3)	49.9% ( 0.75)

Both teams to score 45.69% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.01% (

0.72)

57.99% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.32% (

0.56)

78.68% (

-0.57)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.6% (

-0.02)

40.39% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.99% (

-0.02)

77.01% (

0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.66% (

0.66)

23.34% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69% (

0.95)

57.31% (

-0.95)

Score Analysis

Valencia 23.48%

Atletico Madrid 49.89%

Draw 26.61%

Valencia	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.31% Total : 23.48%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 13.71% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 9.98% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.59% Total : 49.89%