We said: Charlton Athletic 2-1 Accrington Stanley
Having had an unforgiving fixture schedule in recent weeks, Charlton will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways against inferior opposition on Saturday.
Accrington have had plenty of injury and suspension issues in recent weeks, with the red card shown to their first-choice goalkeeper in midweek another blow to add to the list. They will fight hard as always under Coleman, but may fall short in the end.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.