League One

League One | Gameweek 32

Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
5 - 0
MK Dons

Santos (7'), Mbete (21'), Jones (28'), Toal (62'), Williams (90+2')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 0-5 Bolton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	MK Dons
61.67% ( 0.28)	22.75% ( -0.13)	15.58% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 44.36% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.73% (

0.29)

53.28% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17% (

0.24)

74.83% (

-0.24)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.15% (

0.2)

16.85% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.15% (

0.35)

46.85% (

-0.35)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.35% (

-0.02)

46.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.77% (

-0.02)

82.23% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 61.66%

MK Dons 15.58%

Draw 22.75%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 13.99% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 61.66%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.75%	0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.28% Total : 15.58%