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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | MK Dons |
61.67% ( 0.28) | 22.75% ( -0.13) | 15.58% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 44.36% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.73% ( 0.29) | 53.28% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.17% ( 0.24) | 74.83% ( -0.24) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.15% ( 0.2) | 16.85% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.15% ( 0.35) | 46.85% ( -0.35) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.35% ( -0.02) | 46.66% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.77% ( -0.02) | 82.23% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 13.99% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 61.66% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.28% Total : 15.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |