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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 55.14%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
22.62% ( 0.01) | 22.24% ( 0.01) | 55.14% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.92% ( -0.02) | 41.08% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.53% ( -0.02) | 63.47% ( 0.02) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.23% | 31.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.8% ( -0) | 68.19% |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.18% ( -0.01) | 14.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.88% ( -0.02) | 43.12% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 22.62% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 55.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |