Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 55.14%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.