We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Accrington Stanley
We think this will be a closely-fought contest at Highbury, with both teams low on confidence.
Stanley are conceding plenty of goals lately, however Fleetwood are struggling to find the back of the net, therefore, there is not a lot to split the sides.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.