Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.