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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Derby County |
20.44% (![]() | 24.4% (![]() | 55.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.17% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.21% (![]() | 52.79% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.58% (![]() | 74.41% (![]() |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.51% (![]() | 40.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.9% (![]() | 77.09% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.95% (![]() | 19.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.37% (![]() | 50.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 6.97% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.26% Total : 20.44% | 1-1 @ 11.56% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 12.78% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.6% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.59% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.86% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 3% Total : 55.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |