League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
3 - 2
Leyton Orient

Cogley (3'), Charles (7'), Thomason (10')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Forde (55'), Archibald (60')
Sotiriou (45+4'), James (53'), Archibald (57'), Happe (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leyton Orient

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Leyton Orient

Bolton won six straight competitive home games prior to last Saturday's defeat to Bristol Rovers, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to return to winning ways against Leyton Orient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Leyton Orient
55.42% ( -0.03)	23.05% ( 0.01)	21.52% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.83% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.96% (

-0.02)

46.04% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.65% (

-0.02)

68.35% (

0.02)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.54% (

-0.02)

16.46% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.83% (

-0.04)

46.16% (

0.04)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.44% (

0.01)

35.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.67% (

0.01)

72.33% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 55.42%

Leyton Orient 21.52%

Draw 23.05%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.42%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.05%	0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 21.52%