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League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Leyton Orient

Bolton
3 - 2
Leyton Orient

Cogley (3'), Charles (7'), Thomason (10')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Forde (55'), Archibald (60')
Sotiriou (45+4'), James (53'), Archibald (57'), Happe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Leyton Orient

Bolton won six straight competitive home games prior to last Saturday's defeat to Bristol Rovers, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to return to winning ways against Leyton Orient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawLeyton Orient
55.42% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 23.05% (0.011999999999997 0.01) 21.52% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.83% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)46.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)68.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)16.46% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.83% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)46.16% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)35.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)72.33% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 55.42%
    Leyton Orient 21.52%
    Draw 23.05%
Bolton WanderersDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 55.42%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.52%

How you voted: Bolton vs Leyton Orient

Bolton Wanderers
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
Leyton Orient
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bolton
2-0
Leyton Orient
Brophy (67' og.), Doyle (69')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
Leyton Orient
4-0
Bolton
Johnson (8'), McAnuff (41'), Wilkinson (44'), Clay (57')
Cisse (79')

Sarcevic (13'), Santos (43'), White (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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