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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
59.43% ( 0.09) | 20.93% ( -0.07) | 19.63% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.94% ( 0.26) | 39.05% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.62% ( 0.27) | 61.37% ( -0.28) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.17% ( 0.11) | 12.83% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.82% ( 0.23) | 39.17% ( -0.23) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% ( 0.12) | 33.42% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.95% ( 0.13) | 70.04% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 59.43% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |