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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
23.94% ( 3.15) | 25.06% ( 0.62) | 51% ( -3.78) |
Both teams to score 50.56% ( 2.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.15% ( 0.72) | 51.84% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.4% ( 0.62) | 73.6% ( -0.62) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% ( 3.47) | 36.53% ( -3.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% ( 3.33) | 73.32% ( -3.34) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.66% ( -1.23) | 20.33% ( 1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.28% ( -2) | 52.72% ( 1.99) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 6% ( 0.69) 2-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.28) Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.94% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.38) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.81) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 9.42% ( -1.04) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 5% ( -0.77) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.4) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 50.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |