EFL Trophy | Second Round

Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
2 - 0
Port Vale

Charles (9'), Mendes Gomes (64')
Thomason (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Iacovitti (57')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Bolton Wanderers and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Bolton 5-1 Harrogate
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Port Vale
63.19% ( 0.24)	19.7% ( -0.1)	17.11% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 57.5% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.53% (

0.22)

37.47% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.31% (

0.23)

59.7% (

-0.23)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.7% (

0.13)

11.3% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.05% (

0.28)

35.95% (

-0.27)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.83% (

-0.02)

35.17% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.08% (

-0.03)

71.93% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 63.19%

Port Vale 17.11%

Draw 19.7%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Port Vale
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.39% Total : 63.19%	1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.7%	1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 17.11%