MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 11:02:50| >> :120:30218:30218:
Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Port Vale

Bolton
2 - 0
Port Vale

Charles (9'), Mendes Gomes (64')
Thomason (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Iacovitti (57')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Bolton Wanderers and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPort Vale
63.19% (0.245 0.24) 19.7% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 17.11% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 57.5% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.53% (0.219 0.22)37.47% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.31% (0.234 0.23)59.7% (-0.227 -0.23)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.7% (0.134 0.13)11.3% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.05% (0.279 0.28)35.95% (-0.273 -0.27)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)35.17% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08% (-0.029 -0.03)71.93% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 63.19%
    Port Vale 17.11%
    Draw 19.7%
Bolton WanderersDrawPort Vale
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.45%
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.87% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.91% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.74% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.71% (0.025 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 63.19%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.98% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.7%
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 17.11%

How you voted: Bolton vs Port Vale

Bolton Wanderers
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Port Vale
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Port Vale
0-1
Bolton

Iacovitti (3'), Balmer (45+1')
Charles (43')
Iredale (64'), Morley (68'), Sheehan (76')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bolton
2-1
Port Vale
Adeboyejo (18'), Sheehan (26')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Port Vale
0-0
Bolton
Forrester (45+2'), C (86')
Santos (10'), Williams (49')
Santos (37')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Bolton
3-2
Port Vale
Doyle (28'), Delfouneso (54'), Afolayan (77')
Delfouneso (67'), Santos (75'), Baptiste (81'), Brockbank (90')
Conlon (35'), Amoo (43')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Port Vale
0-1
Bolton

Mills (70'), Legge (79')
Jones (63')
Gilks (89')
rhs 2.0
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