FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
5 - 1
Harrogate

Dadi Bodvarsson (9', 33', 43'), N'Lundulu (49', 52')
Mendes Gomes (64'), Jones (81')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Thomson (45')
Thomson (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bolton Wanderers and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Bolton
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Harrogate Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Harrogate 2-2 Wrexham
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Harrogate Town

Even if Evatt opts to shuffle the pack amid his side's League One title charge, a Trotters outfit who have given little away at the back in recent weeks should prove too strong for their lower-tier opponents on Saturday. Failure to score against Oxford was surely only a minor blip for Bolton, who ought to have no problem breaching the Harrogate defence on a couple of occasions to sail into round three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 14.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Harrogate Town
67.01% ( 0.21)	18.84% ( -0.14)	14.15% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.5% (

0.52)

39.49% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.16% (

0.54)

61.84% (

-0.54)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.11% (

0.2)

10.89% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.96% (

0.45)

35.04% (

-0.45)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.81% (

0.23)

40.18% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.18% (

0.21)

76.82% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 67%

Harrogate Town 14.15%

Draw 18.84%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Harrogate Town
2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.24% Total : 67%	1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.84%	1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 14.15%