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League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Exeter City

Bolton
7 - 0
Exeter

Iredale (34'), Adeboyejo (43'), Maghoma (55'), Charles (63', 74'), Dempsey (86'), N'Lundulu (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jules (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Exeter City

The Wanderers have won matches in various ways throughout the domestic campaign, while Exeter often look unstable and inconsistent at the back, which is why we believe Bolton will continue their winning ways and push towards the top spot in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
58.15% (-0.489 -0.49) 21.13% (0.171 0.17) 20.71% (0.318 0.32)
Both teams to score 59.16% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58% (-0.354 -0.35)38.41% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (-0.373 -0.37)60.7% (0.374 0.37)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-0.256 -0.26)13% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (-0.523 -0.52)39.52% (0.524 0.52)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (0.097999999999999 0.1)31.99% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (0.114 0.11)68.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 58.15%
    Exeter City 20.71%
    Draw 21.13%
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 58.15%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.068 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 20.71%

How you voted: Bolton vs Exeter

Bolton Wanderers
94.7%
Draw
5.3%
Exeter City
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Exeter
0-1
Bolton
Bradley (27')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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