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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Fratton Park
Bolton logo

Portsmouth
2 - 0
Bolton

Shaughnessy (45'), Yengi (88')
Robertson (10'), Sparkes (35'), Rafferty (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomason (14'), Sheehan (74'), Mendes Gomes (90+2'), Jones (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portsmouth 0-1 Bolton Wanderers

Losing their leading marksman before the visit of a Bolton side who have been near-unbreakable in recent games was not on Portsmouth's bingo card, although their extended recuperation period should at least play its part for the hosts. However, given Pompey's recent shortcomings at Fratton Park, Evatt's side have every right to be confident of keeping their hosts at bay, and the effective Adeboyejo-Charles pairing need just one gilt-edged chance to put another twist in the title tale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawBolton Wanderers
36.3% (0.107 0.11) 25.09% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 38.61% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Both teams to score 57.4% (-0.336 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (-0.437 -0.44)46.1% (0.435 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (-0.415 -0.41)68.4% (0.411 0.41)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (-0.143 -0.14)24.85% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)59.45% (0.198 0.2)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.30300000000001 -0.3)23.61% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (-0.436 -0.44)57.69% (0.435 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 36.3%
    Bolton Wanderers 38.61%
    Draw 25.09%
PortsmouthDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.117 0.12)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 36.3%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.09%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.61%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Bolton

Portsmouth
35.1%
Draw
8.1%
Bolton Wanderers
56.8%
74
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Portsmouth
3-1
Bolton
Towler (73', 84'), Bishop (87')
Charles (48')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bolton
3-0
Portsmouth
Charles (15'), Lee (48'), Toal (71')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 40
Bolton
1-1
Portsmouth
Sadlier (76' pen.)
Dempsey (38'), Aimson (49')
O'Brien (50')
(77')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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