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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Charlton

Martin (68', 90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tedic (85')
Campbell (24'), Jones (30'), Hector (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Charlton Athletic

Bristol Rovers have lost just once at home in the league this season, but they have drawn five times, while Charlton have also recorded five draws away from home this term. We are finding it difficult to back either side with any real confidence and have therefore settled on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawCharlton Athletic
45.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 30.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.85% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.83% (0.044000000000004 0.04)42.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.42% (0.042999999999999 0.04)64.57% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.018999999999991 0.02)18.84% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71% (0.032000000000004 0.03)50.28% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03)61.36% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 45.3%
    Charlton Athletic 30.78%
    Draw 23.91%
Bristol RoversDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 45.3%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.78%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Charlton

Bristol Rovers
94.1%
Draw
5.9%
Charlton Athletic
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Charlton
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Kanu (73')
Holden (28'), Payne (57')
Sinclair (58'), McCormick (90+8')
Marquis (27'), Grant (90+2')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Charlton
Marquis (71' pen.)
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Charlton
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Inniss (20')
Marquis (61', 72')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
Charlton
3-2
Bristol Rovers
Shinnie (33'), Forster-Caskey (42'), Washington (84')
Shinnie (73'), Morgan (86')
Leahy (18' pen.), Upson (32')
Upson (48'), Hargreaves (78')
Day (90+3')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Charlton
Millar (64')
Oshilaja (61'), Morgan (74')
Morgan (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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