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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Portsmouth |
31.89% ( -0.31) | 25.49% ( -0.06) | 42.61% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 54.95% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.18% ( 0.14) | 48.81% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.08% ( 0.13) | 70.91% ( -0.13) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.18% ( -0.13) | 28.81% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.33% ( -0.16) | 64.67% ( 0.16) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.19% ( 0.24) | 22.8% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.48% ( 0.35) | 56.51% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.89% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |