League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
1 - 1
Burton Albion

Jones (19')
Dobson (63'), Jones (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sweeney (90+1')
Carayol (67'), Kamwa (87')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-0 Burton Albion

Charlton may be frustrated by a flurry of draws, but we think that they will return to winning ways against a Burton side that will be low on confidence following a run of five consecutive league defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Burton Albion
66.14% ( -0.08)	19.11% ( 0.02)	14.76% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 53.95% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.57% (

0.05)

39.43% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.23% (

0.05)

61.77% (

-0.05)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.9% (

-0.01)

11.1% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.5% (

-0.02)

35.5% (

0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.69% (

0.11)

39.31% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.98% (

0.1)

76.02% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 66.14%

Burton Albion 14.76%

Draw 19.11%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Burton Albion
2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 4.18% Total : 66.14%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.11%	1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 14.76%