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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
60.71% ( 1.76) | 21.03% ( -0.28) | 18.25% ( -1.48) |
Both teams to score 55.13% ( -1.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.31% ( -1.01) | 41.68% ( 1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.91% ( -1.03) | 64.08% ( 1.03) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.71% ( 0.2) | 13.28% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.89% ( 0.41) | 40.1% ( -0.41) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.58% ( -2.15) | 36.41% ( 2.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.8% ( -2.24) | 73.2% ( 2.24) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.58) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.71% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.03% | 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.54% Total : 18.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
> League One Full Table |