EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley2 - 1Bristol Rovers
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Crawley
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
39.17% ( 0) | 23.28% ( 0.01) | 37.55% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 64.26% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.74% ( -0.06) | 37.25% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.54% ( -0.06) | 59.46% ( 0.06) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.54% ( -0.02) | 19.46% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.69% ( -0.04) | 51.31% ( 0.04) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.78% ( -0.03) | 20.22% ( 0.03) |