League One | Gameweek 11
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Portsmouth3 - 1Bolton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Port Vale
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Bolton Wanderers
Although Pompey have already lost twice to Bolton this season, none of those defeats took place under Mousinho's watch and after improving under their new manager, we think that they will frustrate the Trotters by holding them to a point on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
37.92% ( 6.93) | 26.57% ( 0.17) | 35.51% ( -7.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
