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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackpool | Draw | Burton Albion |
59.09% ( 1.87) | 22.42% ( -0.81) | 18.49% ( -1.06) |
Both teams to score 50.99% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( 1.86) | 47.41% ( -1.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% ( 1.7) | 69.62% ( -1.7) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.31% ( 1.29) | 15.69% ( -1.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.25% ( 2.34) | 44.75% ( -2.34) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.48% ( -0.1) | 39.52% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.79% ( -0.09) | 76.21% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Blackpool | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.31) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.26% Total : 59.08% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 18.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
4 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Blackpool | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Barnsley | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
13 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
14 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
16 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 13 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
23 | Burton Albion | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |